SURE: Articles from Past SURE Programs

Smallpox: A Biological Threat With Selective Vaccination
Chrissy Wilson

Out of all of the possible organisms causing disease and death, smallpox has been deemed one of the most serious biological threats to the United States. This is largely due to smallpox’s 30% case-fatality rate - an ability to kill 30% or more of those that come in contact with the virus - and its ability to spread in any climate and season (1). This is not the first time smallpox has been considered for use as a biological weapon. During the French and Indian War in the 1700s, British troops initiated outbreaks of smallpox to American Indians by distributing blankets that had been used by smallpox patients. This caused the death of more than 50% of affected tribes (2). But when Edward Jenner discovered cowpox protected against smallpox in 1796, the threat of smallpox diminished.

The last known case of smallpox occurred in 1977 and in 1980 the World Health Assembly declared the world free of all naturally occurring cases of smallpox. At that time, a World Health Organization (WHO) committee decided that all laboratories should destroy their stocks of the virus or transfer them to either the Institute of Virus Preparations in Moscow, Russia, or to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Atlanta, GA. Vaccine production facilities were also taken apart.

Routine vaccinations have not been recommended for over 25 years. Despite terrorist threats today, smallpox vaccination is still not recommended for the general public. Since there are no reported cases of smallpox, there is not a need to be vaccinated against it (3). The CDC currently has 110 million vaccines for smallpox and estimates that by the end of the year, they will have well over 250 million vaccines for emergency post-exposure vaccination. The vaccine is not being administered because it does have some risks.

One person in 10,000 who receives the smallpox vaccine will have serious side effects; which means that an estimated 350 to 500 people would die if everyone in the United States were administered the vaccine (3). These numbers prove that at this time, the benefits of the vaccine do not outweigh the risks for the general public. The vaccine is only being provided to scientists and medical personnel who work with smallpox-type viruses.

The Bush Administration is currently determining whether or not to take the CDC’s suggestion for allowing emergency responders; including first responder teams and some designated hospital employees, to receive the smallpox vaccination (4). These individuals have a greater chance of dealing with emergency situations where patients may have smallpox. The decision should be made within a few weeks.

Sources:

  1. Smallpox, http://www.hopkins-biodefense.org/pages/agents/agentsmallpox.html
  2. Smallpox as a Biological Weapon: Medical and Public Health Management, http://jama.ama-assn.org/issues/v281n22/ffull/jst90000.html
  3. FAQ’s About Smallpox, http://www.bt.cdc.gov/DocumentsApp/FAQSmallpox.asp?link=2&page=bio#Q3
  4. White House smallpox vaccination policy announcement expected shortly,
    http://www.washingtonfax.com
  5. Vaccine Reaction Images,
    http://www.bt.cdc.gov/Agent/Smallpox/VaccineImages.asp